Path Dependency Theory and the Land Reforms of 1962 Iran Analysis of the Impact of Initial Goals on the Current Situation

Document Type : Original Research Paper

Authors

1 PhD student, Iranology, Faculty of World Studies, University of Tehran and instructor at Velayat University

2 Associate Professor of Russian Studies, Faculty of World Studies, University of Tehran

10.22034/spektrum.2026.535645.1037
Abstract
The 1962 land reform was implemented with specific goals that now have gaps relative to the current results. In fact, land reforms were accompanied by initial promises such as equal land distribution, social justice, increased agricultural productivity, and improved villagers' livelihoods. However, after several decades, this policy has not only not achieved its goals in some cases, but has also encountered unintended consequences. By comparing the initial goals and explaining the current results, this article seeks to answer the question of under what factors and how the 1962 land reform has reached the current situation. In response to the main question and in the form of a hypothesis, it can be noted that; land reforms were carried out for development, but the incomplete implementation based on more political goals was reinforced in the following decade with the increase in oil revenues, and then, due to war conditions and continued sanctions, the conflict of interests of self-reinforcing institutions reached a locking stage, which made any change difficult. The research findings in the form of the "path dependency" theory showed that the choice of a transformational decision in the past was influenced by factors such as; Dependence on oil revenues, wrong policies, and conflict of interest among interest groups gradually strengthened and continued in the following decades due to war, imposed conditions, and fear of costs, which have led to a lock-in and currently made it difficult to change and return to the path. The research approach is analytical-descriptive, based on data from library sources and documents.

Keywords



Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 03 August 2026